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HomeIn the News57% of Americans Say Civil War Somewhat to Very Likely

57% of Americans Say Civil War Somewhat to Very Likely

This maybe a clickbait title but sadly the numbers are not a typo.

YouGovAmerica Polling

A recent poll from YouGovAmerica was conducted among 1,500 US adult citizens last week with the following alarming results. 

  • Looking back – 66% of Americans polled, not surprisingly, believe that the political divide in America has gotten worse since 2021, the last time the poll was conducted.
    • Broken down by political party, 79% of Republicans vs. 59% of Democrats polled believe the political divide in this country has gotten worse since 2021.
    • 63% believe that our divided nation is demonstrating an increase in violence as a result.
  • Looking forward – 62% of those polled expect this divide to increase.
    • Broken down by political party, 72% of Republicans vs. 58% of Democrats polled believe the political divide in this country will continue to get worse.
    • 60% expect that political violence will continue to increase in the coming years.
  • When asked if a Civil War was likely in America in the next 10 years:
    • Overall – 14% very likely, 43% somewhat likely, 35% not likely, 22% unsure
    • Specifically – 21% of those categorizing themselves as “strongly Republicans” responded that a civil war is very likely vs. 15% of all other political parties polled.


Let me offer the rational thought that, these results are inflammatory at best and flat out crazy at worst. First of all, what was the definition of “civil war”? Was it interpreted as an “insurrection” or akin to the “war between the states” (not likely). Secondly, what people say in a poll, out of frustration or even anger, is not always what they truly believe. However, the poll unquestionably indicates a deteriorating trajectory in this country.


President Biden, clearly on the campaign trail, provided the news media on both sides of the political spectrum with fodder. On the same day the YouGovAmerica poll came out, Biden was quoted as saying,

  • “Trump and the extreme MAGA Republicans have made their choice — to go backwards full of anger, violence, hate, and division.”
  •  Biden portrayed MAGA Republicans as a “threat to democracy,” criticizing former president Trump for creating a movement that so many support.
  • “You and 81 million Americans voted to save our democracy,” Biden said, adding “that’s why Donald Trump isn’t just a former president, he is a defeated former president.” 
  • Separately, Biden offered, “What we’re seeing now is either the beginning or the death knell of an extreme MAGA philosophy,” Biden said. “It’s not just Trump, it’s the entire philosophy that underpins the — I’m going to say something, it’s like semi-fascism.”

At the same time, former President Trump lashed out at Biden and a new attack on the 2020 election with the following:

  • 81 million votes… and I’ve never seen a pro Biden hat, shirt or flag in my life.”
  • Donald Trump is seeking reinstatement as president or “a new Election, immediately!”
  • Declare the rightful winner or — and this would be the minimal solution —declare the 2020 Election irreparably compromised and have a new Election, immediately!” 


To be clear, I am an Independent and, for very different reasons, do not support either Biden or Trump. This article is not intended to provide or promote either candidate or party. Instead, it is intended to offer a snapshot in time on where we are as a nation. Rather than focusing on the economy, increasing crime, the border, China, climate change, single parent households, the homeless, the drop in US life expectancy, the drop in English and math skills, we are sniping and yelling at each other. Sadly, this is likely to continue to escalate for the next two years and beyond. 

I believe the polling results listed above are an indicator of where we have come and where we are headed as a devolving nation. 

After laying the groundwork for the return of Christ, 2 Peter chapter 3 asks the rhetorical question that is more applicable today than when it was first written.

2 Peter 3:11-12a Since all these things are thus to be dissolved, what sort of people ought you to be in lives of holiness and godliness, waiting for and hastening the coming of the day of God


I believe the Biblical Christian window for evangelism is slowly closing as our country becomes more and more polarized and resistant to beliefs such as that offered by Biblical Christians. As Matthew makes the point, using the Parable of the 10 Virgins, each of us has to choose both a path for ourselves and a focus on what should be a priority for the remainder of our lives. Will we be ready, accepting Christ as our Savior and Lord while serving Him by sharing the Good News? Or, will we choose to, reject Him and, by doing so, miss out when Christ returns for His bride, the Church (Eph. 5:24-27).

Matt. 25:1-12 Then the kingdom of heaven will be like ten virgins who took their lamps and went to meet the bridegroom. Five of them were foolish, and five were wise. For when the foolish took their lamps, they took no oil with them, but the wise took flasks of oil with their lamps. As the bridegroom was delayed, they all became drowsy and slept. But at midnight there was a cry, ‘Here is the bridegroom! Come out to meet him.’ Then all those virgins rose and trimmed their lamps. And the foolish said to the wise, ‘Give us some of your oil, for our lamps are going out.’ But the wise answered, saying, ‘Since there will not be enough for us and for you, go rather to the dealers and buy for yourselves.’ And while they were going to buy, the bridegroom came, and those who were ready went in with him to the marriage feast, and the door was shut. Afterward the other virgins came also, saying, Lord, lord, open to us.’ But he answered, ‘Truly, I say to you, I do not know you.’ 

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Jeff Hilles | BCWorldveiw.org, a 501(c)3 Nonprofit

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